Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#49
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.8#265
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#45
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#59
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 3.8% 4.0% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 11.4% 12.1% 2.6%
Top 6 Seed 21.6% 22.7% 6.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.0% 44.8% 18.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.4% 42.2% 17.5%
Average Seed 6.4 6.4 7.3
.500 or above 58.4% 60.6% 28.4%
.500 or above in Conference 38.9% 40.2% 21.0%
Conference Champion 4.0% 4.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.4% 16.6% 28.9%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.1%
First Round41.9% 43.7% 18.1%
Second Round26.0% 27.2% 9.7%
Sweet Sixteen11.3% 11.9% 3.5%
Elite Eight4.8% 5.1% 0.9%
Final Four1.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Championship Game0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 93.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 11
Quad 25 - 39 - 14
Quad 33 - 113 - 15
Quad 44 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 205   Oral Roberts W 81-65 93%    
  Nov 09, 2019 234   UMKC W 78-61 94%    
  Nov 13, 2019 123   @ College of Charleston W 71-67 64%    
  Nov 17, 2019 144   Yale W 81-69 86%    
  Nov 22, 2019 231   Western Michigan W 80-63 94%    
  Nov 27, 2019 59   Syracuse W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 04, 2019 54   Georgetown W 79-76 61%    
  Dec 08, 2019 58   Wichita St. W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 15, 2019 32   @ Houston L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 21, 2019 70   Minnesota W 72-70 59%    
  Dec 29, 2019 299   SE Louisiana W 77-56 97%    
  Jan 04, 2020 13   @ Texas Tech L 63-72 23%    
  Jan 06, 2020 46   West Virginia W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 68   @ TCU L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 15, 2020 24   Texas W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 18, 2020 15   Baylor L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 21, 2020 35   @ Iowa St. L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 25, 2020 61   @ Texas A&M L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 27, 2020 4   Kansas L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 38   @ Oklahoma L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 05, 2020 68   TCU W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 08, 2020 15   @ Baylor L 65-73 26%    
  Feb 11, 2020 50   @ Kansas St. L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 15, 2020 13   Texas Tech L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 18, 2020 46   @ West Virginia L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 22, 2020 38   Oklahoma W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 24, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 29, 2020 35   Iowa St. W 74-72 55%    
  Mar 04, 2020 50   Kansas St. W 65-62 60%    
  Mar 07, 2020 24   @ Texas L 64-70 32%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.4 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.8 4.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.0 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.4 1.3 2.9 3.4 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.5 10th
Total 0.4 1.3 3.3 5.4 7.6 9.8 10.6 11.7 10.8 9.9 8.7 7.4 5.2 3.3 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 94.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 79.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 52.2% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.9% 0.8    0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 86.5% 13.5% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 51.1% 48.9% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 37.1% 62.9% 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.1% 100.0% 30.1% 69.9% 2.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.5% 100.0% 22.3% 77.7% 2.8 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.3% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 3.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 5.2% 99.2% 14.4% 84.7% 4.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
11-7 7.4% 97.2% 6.1% 91.1% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.0%
10-8 8.7% 90.2% 5.3% 85.0% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 89.7%
9-9 9.9% 74.2% 4.2% 69.9% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 73.0%
8-10 10.8% 44.7% 2.2% 42.5% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.0 43.4%
7-11 11.7% 19.1% 0.9% 18.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.5 18.4%
6-12 10.6% 5.1% 0.5% 4.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.1 4.6%
5-13 9.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.8%
4-14 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
3-15 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.4
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 43.0% 4.2% 38.7% 6.4 1.4 2.4 3.8 3.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.4 3.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 57.0 40.4%